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국제학술지

Characterizing the relationship between the spatial range of influence of urban land characteristics and surface temperature using geospatial explainable artificial intelligence models

2025.11

저널명 : International Journal of Digital Earth

주저자 : Gunwon Lee

교신저자 : Geunhan Kim

공동저자 : Youngtae Cho, Yuhan Han

Views 40

2026.02.18

#Urban heat Island

# land surface temperature

# geospatial explainable artificial intelligence

# gradient boosting model

# shapley additive explanations

Lee, G., Cho, Y., Han, Y., & Kim, G. (2025). Characterizing the relationship between the spatial range of influence of urban land characteristics and surface temperature using geospatial explainable artificial intelligence models. International Journal of Digital Earth, 18(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/17538947.2025.2583833

The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect leads to increased energy consumption, and a decline in urban residents' quality of life. Therefore, quantitatively analyzing this phenomenon and developing mitigation strategies is of critical importance. This study applies a Geo-Explainable Artificial Intelligence (GeoXAI) approach to quantify the influence of urban spatial configurations and land use characteristics on Land Surface Temperature (LST). LST was derived from Landsat 8 satellite imagery. Independent variables included vegetation indices such as the Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI), and Green Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (GNDVI), as well as digital elevation models (DEM) and land cover data. Four tree-based machine learning models were compared. Among them, XGBoost demonstrated the highest prediction accuracy with an R² value of 0.9885 at the 150 m buffer distance. Additionally, the application of Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) identified NDBI, GNDVI, elevation (DEM), and roads as the most influential variables on LST. Furthermore, a scenario simulating the underground conversion of major arterial roads in Seoul and the restoration of the surface into urban parks revealed an LST reduction effect of approximately 0.45–1 °C, depending on vegetation density. These findings underscore the importance of green space restoration in mitigating the UHI effect.